Nov. 7, 2016

Why Trump Has Lost and America May Have Won

By Marc Platt

This should have been a "Change Election" cycle. The Republicans almost always win Presidential elections in a change year, but what if you have a "candidate" who really doesn't want the job?

That is certainly the case here with Donald J. Trump, a businessman who has zero public service. 

This is not one of those demeaning pieces I have written in the past about this man. I really want to simply explain why America will go with the most establishment candidate ever in a year and cycle that would normally go to the opposing party.

Demographics.

When a "populist" candidate uses old school racist buzzwords and displays no respect for all the minority voters necessary to secure 270 electoral votes, you always lose. You cannot call Mexicans "rapists" on day one and expect them to vote for you. George W. Bush was able to secure 43% of the Latin vote in 2004 and he barely won a very close election to John Kerry. Trump has 20% of the Latin vote in 2016. That is a loser. That is a "No chance" proposition. Trump has repeatedly doubled down on his "Wall."

Trump also demeaned Muslims, Asians and disabled people. These are mothers, fathers, sons and daughters of someone who votes.

You cannot win elections with only older, uneducated disenfranchised rust belt voters. There are simply not enough of that dying demographic to win.

It is math and reality.

Hillary Clinton is a woman. In the end, women voters have come home to her gender. Clinton has embraced the Obama voting coalition who will help, but in the end it was a man who yelled and screamed, made headlines, sold a lot of Corn Flakes for the TV networks who made the news, but delivered the White House with a cherry on top to Hillary Rodham Clinton.

We are back to where we started at the beginning of the election. It would have been interesting to see what kind of campaign HRC would have run against Jeb Bush or Marco Rubio. They both have huge Latin connections. This would have been a far different race.

We end up where we began. Two celebrities who have been center stage for 30 years. Trump is a man who had no coalition and had to stitch one together out of anger. Hillary Clinton has a coalition, but was dragged far to the left and then in the mud by Trump.

She will have to repair her image by her service as the 45th POTUS. She certainly has been able to work with Republicans in the past. Time will only tell if she can govern a nation that is so divided after an election cycle like no other we have ever seen.

Stay tuned.